Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.639293 0.724948 0.816333 0.920921 1.037137 1.162137 1.306584
2025-08-24 0.520526 0.641932 0.780969 0.951264 1.153457 1.385052 1.669561
2025-08-31 0.420754 0.561595 0.733910 0.958507 1.241574 1.584385 2.028609
2025-09-07 0.353093 0.507403 0.708091 0.984896 1.352914 1.821058 2.456544
2025-09-14 0.289882 0.447368 0.664512 0.980418 1.421798 2.009134 2.840682
2025-09-21 0.246765 0.407035 0.640281 0.996518 1.516976 2.237821 3.296853
2025-09-28 0.204630 0.360422 0.599434 0.981994 1.565186 2.403941 3.679453
2025-10-05 0.183079 0.341846 0.597027 1.022495 1.695303 2.694557 4.259132
2025-10-12 0.164642 0.325015 0.594373 1.060974 1.824289 2.991906 4.869329
2025-10-19 0.143826 0.300312 0.574971 1.069097 1.904777 3.220281 5.390447
2025-10-26 0.125597 0.277041 0.554447 1.071972 1.975352 3.436425 5.905360
2025-11-02 0.109952 0.255894 0.534521 1.072769 2.041031 3.647560 6.424195
2025-11-09 0.096390 0.236800 0.516206 1.074937 2.110215 3.871265 6.982226
2025-11-16 0.085381 0.221096 0.502182 1.083171 2.190315 4.118331 7.594677
2025-11-23 0.074251 0.203003 0.480804 1.074563 2.238392 4.313144 8.130828
2025-11-30 0.067024 0.192570 0.473699 1.092946 2.337650 4.603123 8.847085
2025-12-07 0.058355 0.176891 0.453084 1.081230 2.377724 4.789302 9.392044
2025-12-14 0.052601 0.167461 0.444927 1.094398 2.467027 5.069986 10.120611
2025-12-21 0.045558 0.153092 0.423313 1.075874 2.490629 5.229448 10.637825
2025-12-28 0.042875 0.150343 0.428861 1.117947 2.641523 5.638079 11.635274
2026-01-04 0.040307 0.147414 0.433539 1.158374 2.791826 6.053982 12.667495
2026-01-11 0.036393 0.139576 0.424740 1.166387 2.873324 6.340095 13.468555
2026-01-18 0.032681 0.131529 0.414217 1.169002 2.942935 6.606205 14.244352